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Signs Supplement - Meteors, Asteroids, Comets,
and NEOs
February
- May 2004
| GARDEN GROVE, California – It is
past time to get serious about planetary defense, experts say. The
threat of Earth being on the receiving end of a cosmic calling card
in the form of an asteroid or comet is real.
Despite increasing scientific agreement
regarding the danger posed by near-Earth objects smashing into our
planet, governmental steps to deal with the issue are missing-in-action.
At present, only patchwork and under-funded research efforts are
underway to robustly detect, track, catalog and plot out strategies
to thwart menacing asteroids and comets that place Earth at risk.
First Strike or Asteroid Impact? The Urgent
Need to Know the Difference An international confab of experts is
taking part in The Planetary Defense Conference: Protecting Earth
from Asteroids here this week and sponsored by The Aerospace Corporation
and the American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics (AIAA).
The
four-days of discussion were kicked off by Congressman Dana Rohrabacher,
Chairman of the House Science Committee's Space and Aeronautics
Subcommittee
Rohrabacher noted that it took the attacks
of Sept. 11 for the country to focus on global terrorism. "I hope
that it won’t take that type of catastrophe for us to start
paying attention to the threats of near-Earth objects," he said.
The
lawmaker said the political reaction to the worries over space rocks
has garnered "a very tepid response" to date, noting that money
spent so far on the issue has been "a pittance."
President George W. Bush’s new visionary
blueprint for NASA – including a human return to the Moon
and sending astronauts to Mars – was saluted by Rohrabacher.
That plan, he added, can also support planetary defense objectives.
"The
Moon could well be a base of operations that we could use as a means
to defend this planet in a timely way, and a more effective way,
against near Earth objects," Rohrabacher explained.
Taking a "let’s get going," roll-up-your
sleeves attitude, Rohrabacher said there is need to start now in
readying the technologies necessary to deflect an Earth-threatening
object. "What we need to do is build from right here…this
moment. The people in this room can save the planet."
Warning time
There is no question that an asteroid
has Earth’s name on it, astronomers agree. But where
the rock is and when that impact is going to occur is unknown, said
David Morrison of the NASA Astrobiology Institute at the space agency's
Ames Research Center at Moffett Field, California.
NASA
now supports -- in collaboration with the United States Air Force
-- the Spaceguard Survey and its goal of discovering and tracking
90 percent of the Near Earth Asteroids (NEAs) with a diameter greater
than about one-half mile (1 kilometer) by 2008. If one of these
big bruisers were to strike our planet, it would spark catastrophic
global effects that would include severe regional devastation and
global climate change.
By
charting the whereabouts of these celestial objects, it is anticipated
that decades of warning time is likely if one of the large-sized
space boulders was found to be on a heading that intersects Earth.
But
a uniform message from the experts attending this week’s planetary
defense gathering is extending the survey to spot smaller objects,
down to some 500 feet (150 meters) in diameter. These asteroids
can wreak havoc too, but on a more localized scale.
For
instance, if one of these smaller asteroids were to strike along
the California coast, millions of people might be killed, Morrison
said. A little further to the east, he added, "a nice crater out
in the desert" would become a tourist attraction.
In
identifying ways to deal with hazardous asteroids, a first order
of business is gaining a better understanding of the enemy. That
is, are they fluffy stuff, constituting a rubble pile, or are they
tough-as-nails slabs of iron? Along with these physical properties,
astronomers want to know more about their overall shape, rotation
rate, and whether an object might play host to a smaller companion
body.
Developing a robust deflection scheme
so an asteroid doesn't hit Earth means taking into account these
factors and a host of other issues, said Don Yeomans, a leading
asteroid and comet scientist at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL)
in Pasadena, California.
Developing a viable mitigation campaign,
Yeomans explained, demands three prerequisites: "You need to find
them early. You need to find them early. And we need to find them
early."
Friendly-fire
Now
being discussed is a way to flex, test, and calibrate present day
computer and hardware tools to first detect and then keep a trained
eye on a potential Earth impactor.
There are currently three Earth-impactors
en route. But don’t worry. It’s all friendly fire.
NASA’s Genesis spacecraft is headed
this way in September of this year. So too is the Stardust spacecraft
in January 2006, as will be a Japanese asteroid sample mission in
June 2007. All three are designed to reenter the Earth’s atmosphere
and touch down on terra firma, each carrying a precious cargo of
scooped-up specimens.
"So
we do have current impactors coming back," Yeomans said. While still
in the preliminary discussion stage, the idea is to use these incoming
spacecraft to shake out coordinated observations, sharpen orbit
calculation skills, and help fine-tune procedures now in place for
detecting and tracking asteroids and comets, he told SPACE.com .
Yeomans said about 40 objects at least
3 feet (1 meter) in size enter the Earth’s atmosphere every
year. Some of these incoming objects have been observed by space-based
infrared and visible sensors and other ground-based detection devices
operated by the U.S. military and other government agencies, he
said.
"They have indeed made many of these observations
available to scientific investigators," Yeomans said. "It would
be nicer to get these things [the data] a little more quickly than
3-4 months down the road,’ he added, with near-simultaneous
flow of information about such events seen as ideal.
Largest meteorite fall
Space and ground sensors proved useful
last year in studying a major meteor explosion in Earth’s
atmosphere. The event also brought home the point of how a natural
event can take on the guise of a human made terrorist act.
Dee Pack, Director of The Aerospace
Corporation’s Remote Sensing Department, detailed a large-scale
meteorite fall that occurred over Park Forest, Illinois on March
27, 2003.
"This is the largest meteorite
fall over a densely populated area in modern history," Pack and
a team of fellow specialists reported at the meeting. The initial
mass of the object is now estimated to be nearly 8 tons.
The explosion took place at nearly
midnight local time. Fragments of the airbursting meteorite cut
through several roofs. The explosive disintegration of the object
lit up the night sky to daylight levels. Sonic booms were heard
over a wide area. Numbers of meteorites resulting from the event
were recovered, later classified as bits of a stony space rock.
Making it all the more jittery for those
folks in the fall zone, the object exploded during Operation Iraqi
Freedom, with many witnesses worried this natural event was some
kind of massive explosion or nuclear event.
Pack
and his colleagues contend: "These large meteors, or superbolides,
are of concern to the Department of Defense due to their ability
to mimic nuclear events." This type of extraordinary Earth-crossing
object serves to train global observers to better recognize and
characterize these naturally occurring huge explosive events.
Who
do you call?
A clear
and present danger for those studying planetary defense is the lack
of any chain-of-command to take on the duties of dealing with the
prospect of disruptive collisions from asteroids and comets.
This
"who do you call?" factor deserves immediate attention, said Michael
Belton of Belton Space Exploration Initiatives in Tucson, Arizona.
Belton detailed the findings of a NASA-sponsored
2002 workshop. It brought together over 75 top scientists, engineers
and military experts from the United States, Europe, and Japan to
review the science behind mitigating hazardous comets and asteroids.
A central
finding: There is lack of any assigned responsibility to any national
or international governmental organization to prepare for a disruptive
collision. There is absence of any authority to act in preparation
for some future collision-mitigation attempt, Belton said.
The
2002 workshop did recommend that NASA be assigned the duty to advance
work in beefing up the science and ability to respond to an imminent
collision with an asteroid or comet nucleus. Furthermore, the now-in
progress Spaceguard Survey should be extended to scope out possible
impactors down to 655 feet (200 meters) in size.
In
addition, Belton said that there is need for the Defense Department
to more rapidly communicate surveillance data on natural airbursts.
And lastly, there’s need for governmental policy makers to
formulate a chain of responsibility for action in the event a threat
to the Earth becomes known.
"In
other words…there isn’t anybody to call. There is nobody
there. And there’s nobody with authority…nobody with
any resources," Belton said. "And we need to correct that. |
| This
bright meteor was widely seen at 6:31 PM MST by residents of Colorado,
Wyoming, and Kansas. Over 550 witness reports were received in the
first 24 hours. The fireball was captured on six cameras of the DMNS
allsky network, allowing excellent identification of its path. [...]
|
| A
naked-eye comet - one visible to the unaided eye without telescope
or binoculars - is an enjoyable sight, particularly for the brighter
comets. On average, a naked-eye comet graces our skies about once
every two years.
However, most remain fairly faint or appear
close to the Sun as seen from Earth, such that even experienced
observers may require binoculars to spot them. Only rarely do two
relatively bright naked-eye comets appear simultaneously. Such an
event will take place in April and May of 2004, when sky gazers
will feast their eyes upon both Comets.[...]
Scientists are interested in comets for
a number of reasons. "Comets are thought to have formed in the outer
reaches of the solar system, and may thus contain rock and ices
that date back billions of years. Also, comet tails are indicators
of the solar wind and have helped us learn about the inner solar
system. And not least, comets are known to hit planets from
time to time, including Earth, so we need to keep an eye out for
potential impactors," said Green. [...]
"Comets do a lot of things that are unpredictable," said Green.
[...]
As
June opens, both comets will fade as they speed ever farther from
both the Sun and the Earth. Yet if current predictions hold, the
brief but enjoyable appearances of Comet NEAT and Comet LINEAR will
be remembered for years to come |
| Scientists have cast doubt on the well-established
theory that a single, massive asteroid strike killed off the dinosaurs
65 million years ago.
New data
suggests the Chicxulub crater in Mexico, supposedly created by the
collision, predates the extinction of the dinosaurs by about 300,000
years.
The authors
say this impact did not wipe out the creatures, rather two or more
collisions could have been responsible .
Instead, they believe a cooling of the global climate shortly followed
by a period of greenhouse warming placed enormous stress on the
dinosaurs.
This warming
could have been kicked off by carbon dioxide released by a massive
eruption of lava seen today in the Deccan traps of India. [...]
"When the
K-T boundary impact finally came, it hit an already stressed community.
To use a cliche, it was the straw that broke the camel's back. Almost
anything could have wiped them out at that point," Professor Keller
told BBC News Online. [...] |
| For
a few hours on January 13, 2004, astronomers thought a 30-meter
wide asteroid might hit the Earth. The asteroid AL00667 seemed to
be on a direct course for the Northern Hemisphere, due to strike
in less than two days.
A 30-meter
asteroid is larger than a tennis court. An asteroid of this size
would have broken up in the atmosphere, creating a one-megaton blast.
If it exploded high enough, the asteroid probably wouldn't have
caused any damage. The shock wave from the blast would have become
a sonic boom by the time it reached the ground. But an explosion
lower in the atmosphere could have caused considerable damage.
Astronomers who knew about the asteroid
believed an impact was not likely, but they couldn't rule out the
possibility, either. So they faced a dilemma - should they warn
others about something that could end up passing us by?
President Bush was preparing to make a
speech at NASA headquarters the next day. He planned to talk about
sending a man back to the moon and then on to Mars, but news of
an approaching asteroid may have caused him to make a very different
kind of announcement.
The
asteroid, which has since been renamed 2004 AS1, actually passed
by at about 12 million kilometers away, or 32 times the Earth-moon
distance. The asteroid also turned out to be 10 times larger than
first thought (about 300 meters wide - or about the height of the
Eiffel Tower).
Some
recent news reports say that Clark Chapman, an astronomer with the
Southwest Research Institute, was moments away from calling President
Bush and warning him about the asteroid. Chapman, however, adamantly
denies this.
"It is absurd to think that any of
us in the loop would have called the White House," states Chapman.
"Hell, we wouldn't even have gotten through. All I was thinking
about was recommending to Don Yeomans, who is in charge of JPL's
[the Jet Propulsion Laboratory's] Near Earth Object Program office,
that he inform people at NASA. It would have had to go through several
layers of hierarchy before it got to anyone who would have been
in a position to go higher than NASA. And Yeomans says that he wouldn't
have acted on my advice, preferring to wait for further confirmation
of the object."
The
difference between the initial estimates and the final result highlights
the difficulty of monitoring the skies for small Near Earth Objects
(NEOs). For 200 4 AS1, astronomers knew the asteroid could be either
big and far away, or small and close by.
"It's rather like noticing something in
the sky out of your car window that appears to be moving along with
you," explains Alan Harris of the Space Science Institute. "It could
be a bird close to your car flying along at close to the same speed,
or it could be a plane in the distance that only seems to be pacing
your car."
Over
the next few weeks after January 13, the asteroid came even closer
to Earth, but it still passed many times farther away than the moon.
There are many asteroids that routinely pass much closer
to the Earth, says Harris, and asteroids the size and distance of
2004 AS1 are "a dime a dozen. " [...]
Although there are no current plans to
establish a program to track the numerous small NEOs, Chapman says
there have been proposals to do so. Such surveys would be able to
track asteroids in the 150 to 500 meter range, and would find even
smaller asteroids as well.
|
| An
Amazing Disturbance In Jupiter's Clouds.....
It
is a very elongated, bluish streak that runs along the interface
of the dark South Equatorial Belt.
The
first hint that that something unusual was taking place in the cloudy
Jovian atmosphere came from Spanish amateur when he reported that
a small, bicolored feature was formingt in the Southern Hemisphere
a little over 2 weeks ago. NOW, this disturbance has stretched,
what loo ks like, right around the planet
At
the moment it's too early to be sure of the nature of this disturbance
or its potential evolution. The wide band shown on the photograph
could, quite easily measure, 3-4 times the diameter of the Earth
Although Jupiter has, in the past, produced
some unusual upper cloud features, nothing like this has ever been
seen before |
| A meteor streaked across the skies over the Susitna River Valley on Tuesday
night, producing a bluish fireball seen by people in Homer and Anchorage,
according to the National Weather Service.
Two
witnesses reported seeing the burn last for six or seven seconds
about 10:20 p.m., said meteorologist Dave Vonderheide.
"It
was unusually bright," he said.
Based on their reports, Vonderheide estimated
that the object entered Earth's atmosphere somewhere over Montana
Creek and moved southwest toward Skwentna before fading from sight.
[...] |
| March 5, 2004 — Perhaps it was not
Mrs. O'Leary's cow kicking over a lantern that sparked the Great
Chicago Fire of 1871, which destroyed the downtown area and claimed
300 lives.
New
research lends credence to an alternative explanation: The fire,
along with less-publicized and even more deadly blazes the same
night in upstate Wisconsin and Michigan, was the result of a comet
fragment crashing into Earth's atmosphere.
The
comet theory has been around — and most often discarded —
since at least 1883, but Robert Wood, a retired McDonnell Douglas
physicist, said never before has the orbital parameters of the rogue
comet been taken into consideration.
The
likely suspect, in Wood's eyes, is a fragment from Biela's Comet,
which had been circling the sun every six years and nine months
before a close encounter with Jupiter caused it to break into two
large fragments in 1845. During its next passage, astronomers noted
a 1.5-million mile, 15-day gap between the two pieces.
Wood said his analysis of the fragments'
positions during subsequent orbits shows that Jupiter's gravity
again affected their speed and trajectory, sending the smaller fragment
on a path toward Earth that ended in October 1871. He presented
his findings at a conference last week titled "Planetary Defense:
Protecting Earth from Asteroids," held in Garden Grove, Calif.
Wood
cited eyewitness reports of spontaneous ignitions, lack of smoke
and "fire balloons" falling from the sky to bolster his theory.
If the fire had been caused by comet debris, which is believed to
have consisted of small pieces of frozen methane, acetylene or other
highly combustible chemicals, it also would explain the cause of
the fires blazing north of Chicago, which wiped out 2,000 people
and burned 4 million acres of farm and prairie lands.
The
deceased included many who showed no signs of being burned, Wood
said. "This would be consistent with either the absence of oxygen
or the presence of carbon monoxide or carbon dioxide above lethal
levels," — a rare — but not unprecedented — situation
in large forest fires.
In
all, over a 24-hour period, an area of land the size of Connecticut
was burned. Wood speculates the main body of the comet crashed into
Lake Michigan, with peripheral fragments causing the fires in Chicago,
Wisconsin and Michigan.
NASA is among a handful of agencie s and organizations working
on cataloging potentially threatening near-Earth asteroids and comets.
What would be done about any threatening asteroids, however, remains
the domain of science fiction.
"What's important about these findings," Wood said, "is
that they show you people can actually get killed from something
from out of space." |
| PLANETARY DEFENSE CONFERENCE PART 1: DEFINING
THE THREAT
Congressman Dana Rohrabacher (R-Calif),
one of the most influential members of the U.S. Congress in matters
affecting space and science, gave the opening keynote address. Comparing
the general apathy about the impact hazard with the public feeling
about terrorism before 9/11, he expressed the hope that it would
not require a similar catastrophe to alert people to the need to
take action to protect the planet from impacts. He also compared
the impact situation with global warming. He feels that the impact
t hreat is better defined, and that real remedies are on the table,
as opposed to global warming where it is not at clear what needs
to be done or how to accomplish it.
In
addition to the current Spaceguard Survey to predict impacts that
could cause a global catastrophe, Rohrabacher urged that we also
deal with more frequent threats from smaller impacts. He feels that
it is unacceptable for us to face the possibility of an impact that
could kill millions without taking action to counter this threat.
He asserted that the people in this room can save the planet, and
that what we are starting is a long-term program that may not come
to fruition for several decades.
Congressmen Rohrabacher addressed the issue of gaining public support. He
feels that an increased emphasis on the asteroid impact threat is
consistent with the President's new space policy initiative. The
Moon can provide a base of operations for dealing with asteroids
as well as for future human flights to Mars. He stressed that the
first imperative is to look up, to search for potential impactors,
describing the legislation he recently introduced to authorize $20
million per year for NASA for each of the next two fiscal years
to search for sub-km NEAs. [...]
In
another keynote, Oliver Morton (London) provided historical context.
The current interest in impacts represents a real change. Astronomy
is the most predictive scie nce but is disassociated from terrestrial
affairs. From the 18th century, astronomers have emphasized this
distance.
Special efforts were made to demystify
comets and allay public fear of comets. From the mid ninetieth century,
geologists adopted a strictly uniformitarian approach in which catastrophic
events were not considered. These ideas have persisted until recently,
for example in the New York Times editorial (April 7 1985) which
said in the context of the proposed KT impact: 'Astronomers should
leave to astrologers the task of seeking the cause of earthly events
in the stars. Not until well into the second half of 20th century
were either astronomers or geologists willing to consider possible
role of impacts. Science fiction was slightly ahead (Heinlein: The
Moon is a Harsh Mistress, 1966. Blish & Knight: A Torrent of
Faces, 1967. Clarke: Rendezvous with Rama, 1973. Niven & Pournelle:
Lucifer's Hammer, 1977).
Only
after the Alvarez paper on the KT impact (1980) did these ideas
start to become respectable. The KT provided a colorful story about
breaking a paradigm, catastrophes, dinosaurs and environmental change.
Now we are in a new situation, trying to popularize the idea of
the hazard of impacts. As public interest grows it naturally focuses
not on what is the greatest danger but on what is the most likely
event. Also, the post 9/11 world is concerned with what are very
small events by astronomical standards. We should accept this and
use it. [...] |
| WASHINGTON (AP) -- Amateur astronomers
could receive awards of $3,000 for discovering and tracking near-Earth
asteroids under legislation approved by the House Wednesday.
"Given the vast number of asteroids and
comets that inhabits Earth's neighborhood, greater efforts for tracking
and monitoring these objects are critical," said Rep. Dana Rohrabacher,
R-Calif., sponsor of the legislation that passed 404-1. [...] |
| There is a modern-day hazard, threatening
the existence of civilization, from impacts of comets and asteroids
larger than about 1.5 km diameter. The average annual world
fatality rate is similar to that due to significant accidents (for
instance, airliner crashes) and natural disasters (e.g. floods),
although impact events are much rarer and the deaths per impact
event are much greater. (Smaller, more frequent impacts can cause
regional catastrophes from tsunamis of unprecedented scale at intervals
similar to the duration of recorded human history.)
As
the telescopic Spaceg uard Survey census of Near Earth Asteroids
advances, numerical simulations of the dynamical and collisional
evolution of asteroids and comets has also become robust, defining
unambiguously past rates of Earth impact of larger, more dangerous
cosmic bodies.
What
are very tiny risks for impacts during a human lifetime become certainties
on geological timescales. Widely reported errors in predictions
of possible impacts during the next century have no bearing on the
certainty that enormous impacts have happened in the past. The
magnitudes and qualitative features of environmental consequences
of impacts of objects of various sizes are increasingly well understood.
Prime attributes of impacts, not duplicated
by any other natural processes, are: (a) extreme suddenness,
providing little opportunity for escape and no chance for adaptation,
(b) globally pervasive, and (c) unlimited potential (for K/T-boundary-scale
impacts and larger) for overwhelming destruction of the life-sustaining
characteristics of the fragile ecosphere, notwithstanding the rather
puny evidence for impacts in the geological record.
A civilization-ending impact would
be an environmental and human catastrophe of wholly unprecedented
proportions. K/T-scale impacts, of which there must have been
at least several during the Phanerozoic (past 0.5 Gyr), are 1,000
times still more destructive. No other plausible, known natural
(or man-made) processes can approach such catastrophic potential.
[...] |
| WASHINGTON (AFP) - The Hubble space telescop
e captured an image of a distant star that bears resemb lance to
the famous Vincent van Gogh painting "Starry Night", NASA and the
European Space Agency announced.
The
spectacular image taken February 8 showed the star, V838 Monocerotis
(V838 Mon), surrounded by an expanding halo of light "complete with
never-before-seen spirals of dust swirling across trillions of kilometers
of interstellar space", a statement from the agencies said.
"The
illumination of interstellar dust comes from the red supergiant
star at the middle of the image, which gave off a flashbulb-like
pulse of light two years ago," the statement added, describing the
image as "nature's own piece of performance art".
The outburst event from
V838 Mon, located 20,000 light years away from Earth, is probably
the source of the dust haze which it illuminates. [...] |
| Two
huge stones, more than 20 meters across, came crashing down on either
side of a home in Kvam Township Tuesday morning. The rocks stopped
only few meters from the house. [...]
The
neighbours said that this is not the first time rocks come crashing
down the mountain, but the rocks have never been so big before.[...] |
| On
March 7, 2004 at approximately 10:50 pm, we were heading East on
Highway 16 just outside Edmonton between Stony Plain & Spruce
Grove Alberta, Canada. In the Northeast sky at approximately 45
degrees we sighted a green fireball traveling south to north traveling
downwards towards the earth. [...] |
| In
the early morning hours of June 30,1908, a huge fireball streaked
across the Siberian sky and crashed into the Earth.
“The sky split apart and a great
fire appeared,” said one eyewitness in Vanavara, Russia. “It
became so hot that one couldn’t stand it. There was a deafening
explosion and my friend was blown over the ground across a distance
of six metres. As the hot wind passed by, the ground and the huts
trembled. Sod was shaken loose from our ceilings and glass was splintered
out of the window frames.”
What
was this cosmic visitor? For years, researchers have gone back to
the site and tried to find out. Antonina Vasiliev, ten, walked with
her father Nikolai and her brother, 100 kilometres through mosquito
infested swamps and bogs to the site.
“I still remember,” she told
the Belleville group of the Royal Astron omical Society at its March
5 meeting at Loyalist Pione er building.
Antonina showed slides her father and
other scientists have taken investigating the phenomenon. Her father
died in 2001 and she is dedicating her talks to his memory. Antonina
currently works as a microbiologist at a Canadian organics company
in Belleville.
The
event in 1908 is called the Tunguska named after a river in Russia.
The object left a trail of light 800 kilometres long and at first
nobody knew what it was. Some thought it was an explosion of anti-matter.
Others suggested a black hole. Some even claimed it to be the work
of extra-terrestrials. But most scientists now agree it was a comet
or an asteroid.
“It was the biggest event of its
kind in recorded history,” Antonina said.
The
power of the blast felled trees outward in a radial pattern of over
2,000 square kilometres, fires burned for weeks. The mass of the
object has been estimated at about 100,000 tons and the force of
the explosion at 40 megatons of TNT, 2,000 times the force of the
atomic bomb exploded over Hiroshima in 1945. By comparison, the
explosive force of the Arizona asteroid that struck some 50,000
years ago, has been estimated at 3.5 megatons.
“Had such a cosmic body exploded
over Europe instead of the desolate region of Siberia, 8221; notes
Nikolai Vasiliev in a report, “the nu mber of human victims
would have been 500,000 or more, not to mention the ensuing ecological
catastrophe.”
Vasiliev stresses why continued investigations
of the Tunguska event are important. “Because it will happen
again, sometime.”
Antonina adds that with research they
can make predictions and be ready. She urged members of the astronomical
society to study the event themselves by researching old news reports
around the world for any mention of unusual sky events or appearances
during the five-day period before and after June 30, 1908. [...] |
| GARDEN GROVE, California – There
is certainty in the thought that an asteroid or comet loitering
in deep space has Earth’s name on it. While a civilization-snuffing
impact is a low probability, it is not zero.
But
there are other trouble-makers out there too. They are the smaller
asteroids, and far more numerous. They too could mess up the day,
but in a more localized way.
The
technologies and techniques to defend Earth from such malicious
cosmic interlopers were tackled at The Planetary Defense Conference:
Protecting Earth from Asteroids held here February 23-26, and sponsored
by The Aerospace Corporation and the American Institute of Aeronautics
and Astronautics (AIAA). [...] |
| The
California Institute of Technology and Cornell University are in the
planning stages for a new 25-metre telescope to be built in Chile.
The submillimetre telescope will cost an estimated $60 million and
will be nearly two times larger in diameter than the largest submillimetre
telescope currently in existence. [...] |
| The
discovery of a mysterious object in our solar system is the topic
of a listen-and-log-on news briefing on Monday, March 15, at 1 p.m.
EST.
Dr. Michael
Brown, associate professor of planetary astronomy, California Institute
of Technology, Pasadena, Calif. will present his discovery of the
most distant object ever detected orbiting the sun. He and colleagues
made the discovery as part of a NASA-funded research project. [...] |
| Sutherland - Huge white domes make a jarring sight amid the landscape of South
Africa's arid Karoo region.
Perched on a wind-swept hilltop, they house telescopes of different shapes
and sizes that search the star-filled skies in this remote corner
of the Earth for the secrets of the universe.
Those skies will soon be scanne d by a super scope that will probe far deeper
into space than any of its neighbours - the Southern African Large
Telescope (SALT), which will be 12m in diameter.
"This is for deep space observation," said Hitesh Gajjar, an electrical engineer
involved in the project, as he pointed with pride at SALT - a massive
hexagon filled with 91 smaller mirrored hexagons, of which 18 are
in place.
SALT
will enable scientists to view stars and galaxies a billion times
too faint to be visible to the naked eye. The official website says
that is as about as faint as a candle's flame on the moon.
SALT
wi ll also probe quasars, which resemble bright stars but are in
fact black holes at the center of galaxies and which are some of
the most distant objects in the universe.
The
light reaching us now left them a long time ago and as a consequence
we see them as they were billions of years ago when they were young.
"Very distant quasars give us information about earlier times in the history
of the universe. One benefit is that this enables us to study the
time evolution of the universe," said South African astronomer Chris
Koen.
"We
can also try to determine whether the same physical laws applied
in the distant past because we see quasars as they were long ago,"
he said. [...] |
| The
disintegrating sunspot has a "beta-gamma-delta" magnetic
field that harbors energy for X-class
solar flares. |
| Psychiatric
admissions. Since the work of T. Dull and B. Dull in 1935, other
studies have reinforced the suspicion that solar activity and the
resultant geomagnetic activity are associated with human health
problems. Here is the abstract of the latest study found:
"Numbers
of first admissions per month for a single psychiatric unit, from
1977 to 1987, were examined for 1829 psychiatric inpatients to assess
whether this measure was correlated with 10 parameters of geophysical
activity. Four statistically significant values were 0.197 with
level of solar radio flux at 2800 MHz in the corresponding month,
-0.274 with sudden magnetic disturbances of the ionosphere, -0.216
with the index of geomagnetic activity, and -0.262 with the number
of hours of positive ionization of the ionosphere in the corresponding
month."
(Raps,
Avi, et al; "Geophysical Variables and Behavior: LXIX. Solar
Activity and Admission of Psychiatric Inpatients," Perceptual
and Motor Skills , 74:449, 1992.)
Comment
. The above correlations are significant, but who knows how these
parameters operate on the human body?
Cancer
recurrence . Another possible health correlation was explored by
H. Wendt in a paper presented at the 1992 European meeting of the
Society for Scientific Exploration, in Munich. In this paper, Wendt
claimed a correlation between the incidence of cancer recurrence
and geomagnetic storm activity. Hopefully, further details will
soon become available. (Anonymous; "SSE News Items," Journal
of Scientific Exploration , 6:208, 1992.) |
| Life
on Mars? |
By
Michael Alicea
Palm Beach Post
Sunday, March 14, 2004 |
| The
two Mars Rovers, Opportunity and Spirit, working on opposite sides
of the planet, have already achieved their shared goal: to find
evidence of liquid water on the barren world. Although they didn't
find actual glistening pools of Martian water, they did discover
strong evidence that Mars was once a world drenched in water, with
rivers and streams flowing into larger basins and perhaps even an
ocean or two.
Important
questions remain unanswered: Where did the water go? How long was
it on the planet? And, because water is one of the key elements
needed for life as we know it, was there -- is there -- life on
that hunk of rock next door? |
| From the media standpoint -- and therefore that of most people -- the Viking
Martian biological experiments were uncompromisingly negative. However,
R. Lewis points out that this is simple not so.
The
labelled-release experiments on both landers produced positive results
every time a nutrient was added to fresh Martian soil. (The nutrient
was tagged with carbon-14, and radioactive carbon dioxide always
evolved, suggesting biological metabolism.) Further, the soil samples,
when sterilized by heat, gave uniformly negative results.
On
earth, such repeatable experiments would be considered strong evidence
that life existed in the samples. The reason the Viking experiments
were described as "negative&quo t; is that the other two life
detection experiments produced negative or equivocal results. The
gas chromatograph, for example, detected no organic molecules in
the Martian soil; and it is difficult to conceive of life without
organic molecules. At first, most scientists preferred to explain
the ambiguous life-detection-experiment results in terms of strange
extraterrestrial chemistry.
Nevertheless,
strange extraterrestrial life would explain the data equally well.
Everyone should be aware that the Viking biology team still considers
life on Mars as a real possibility. (Lewis, Richard; "Yes.
There Is Life on Mars," New Scientist , 80:106, 1978.) |
| SCIENTISTS
have found a new world orbiting the solar system – more than
3 billion kilometres further away from the Sun than Pluto and 40
years away from Earth in a space shuttle.
NASA is
expected to announce today the discovery of the space object, which
some experts believe could be a new planet.
It
is provisionally known as Sedna, after the Inuit goddess of the
sea.
The
discovery of Sedna – 10 billion kilometres from Earth –
is a testament to the new generation of high-powered telescopes.
Measurements
suggest Sedna's diameter is almost 2000km – the biggest find
in the solar system since Pluto was discovered 74 years ago. It
is believed to be made of ice and rock, and is slightly smaller
than Pluto.
The
find will reignite the debate over what constitutes a planet. Some
scientists claim even Pluto is too small to count as one. According
to astronomer Michael Brown of the California Institute of Technology,
who discovered Sedna, there could be many other new worlds orbiting
the Sun and waiting to be discovered.
"Sedna
is very big, and much further out than previous discoveries,"
he said. "I'm pretty sure there are other large bodies up there
too."
But
physicist and cosmologist Paul Davies, of Sydney's Macquarie University,
said it was folly to describe Sedna as a planet. "It's fun,
it's exciting, but let's keep it in proportion," Professor
Davies said yesterday.
He
said scientists had known for "a decade or so the solar system
does not come to an abrupt halt" and there were a number of
"planetessimals" or little planets, like Sedna. [...] |
| Biggest
Solar Ever Recorded Bigger Than Previously Thought
|
| WASHINGTON
-- Physicists in New Zealand have shown that last November's record-breaking
solar explosion was much larger than previously estimated, thanks
to innovative research using the upper atmosphere as a gigantic
x-ray detector.
Their
findings have been accepted for 17 March publication in Geophysical
Research Letters, published by the American Geophysical Union.
On
4 November 2003, the largest solar flare ever recorded exploded
from the Sun's surface, sending an intense burst of radiation streaming
towards the Earth.
Before the storm peaked, x-rays overload ed the detectors on the
Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites (GOES), forcing
scientists to estimate the flare's size. [...] |
| Sedna
proves existence of Oort Cloud |
| The
object is moving within an immense comet-filled region called the
Oort Cloud, whose existence until now had been merely a 50-year-old
theory, Brown told reporters in a telephone conference from NASA's
Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena.
The
new discovery is the first hard evidence of an Oort Cloud object,
Brown said. [...]
The
cloud is believed to contain as many as a billion comets, none of
which will ever a pproach the inner solar system that includes Earth
and its companion planets, Brown said. [...] |
| Comment:
Or so they are saying for now, meanwhile there seems to be a race
to build big telescopes. You can read more about the Oort Cloud in
Laura's book Ancient
Science. |
|
Residents attempting to bring the 'Paragould Meteorite' home
|
| PARAGOULD
-- If the efforts of the community are successful, Paragould could
once again be home to the phenomenal 800-pound "Paragould Meteorite."
Larry
Hancock, a lifelong resident of Paragould, recently became interested
in bringing the cosmic artifact back to northeast Arkansas.
The
meteorite, which crashed a few miles southwest of Finch at 4:08
a.m. on Feb. 17, 1930, is the third largest meteorite ever discovered.
W.H. Hodges, a farmer, discovered the meteorite in a hole that measured 8-feet
deep. [...] |
| Our corner of the galaxy got a little stranger this week
with the discovery of Sedna, the most distant object ever spotted
in the solar system. Now astronomers are puzzling over how it got
there.
The
most intriguing idea is that there might be another world as big
as Earth, a gravitational bully lurking in some unexplored corner
of the solar system. [...]
"Perhaps
there's more than one planet out there," Marsden said. "Who
knows? But let's suppose it is something of an Earth mass,
maybe even a few Earth masses. A close approach could throw
this object [Sedna] from something more circular into something
more eccentric." [...] |
| SAN
DIEGO -- As far as flying space rocks go, it's as close an encounter
as mankind has ever had.
A 100-foot diameter asteroid will pass within 26,500
miles of Earth on Thursday evening, the closest-ever brush on record
by a space rock, NASA astronomers said.
The
asteroid's close flyby, first spied late Monday, poses no risk,
NASA astronomers stressed.
"It's
a guaranteed miss," astronomer Paul Chodas, of the near-Earth
object office at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory, said Wednesday.
The
asteroid, 2004 FH, was expected to make its closest approach at
5:08 p.m. EST, streaking over the southern Atlantic Ocean. It should
be visible through binoculars to stargazers across the so uthern
hemisphere, as well as throughout Asia and Europe, said astronomer
Steve Chesley, also of JPL.

Professional
astronomers around the globe scrambled Wednesday to prepare for
the flyby, which could provide an unprecedented chance to get a
close look at the asteroid, he added. The asteroid will pass within
the moon's orbit.
Similarly
sized asteroids are believed to come as close to Earth on average
once every two years, but have always escape d detection.
"The
important thing is not that it's happening, but that we detected
it," Chesley said.
Astronomers
found the asteroid late Monday during a routine survey carried out
with a pair of telescopes in New Mexico funded by the National Aeronautics
and Space Administration. Follow-up observations on Tuesday allowed
them to pinpoint its orbit.
"It
immediately became clear it would pass very close by the Earth,"
Chesley said.
Astronomers
have not ruled out that the asteroid and our planet could meet aga
in sometime in the future. If the two were to collide, the asteroid
likely would disintegrate in the atmosphere, Chesley said. |
| SpaceWeather.com
made the following comments:
There's
no danger of a collision, but it is close. For comparison, geosynchronous
satellites orbit Earth at an altitude of 35,800 km, only six or
sev en thousand km below the asteroid. 2004 FH's point of closest
approach with the Earth will be over the South Atlantic Ocean.
A
reader also sent the following today:
Saw
a huge meteor burn up in the Savannah, GA skies last night. This
thing was fully one quarter the size of a mid-heaven full moon
and reminded me of the asteroid near collision in the documentary
"Five Minutes to Impact".
A
listing of Near Earth Objects that have already passed or will pass
the BBM can be foundhere.
We
find it difficult to believe NASA astronomers when they say that
near earth meteorites such as 2004 FH fly by every two years, yet
this is the first one that they have detected. It is likely that
information is being withheld, but then again, this is nothing strange
on the big blue marble. Just about everything of global significance
is withheld from the masses. |
| A
wave of massive explosions which erupted from the sun's surface
was so powerful it came close to shutting down power grids and radio
and mobile phone networks across the world.
The
solar flare last November was more than twice as big as the previous
recorded explosion - and so violent that satellite detectors were
unable to record its true scale because they were bl inded by its
radiation.
It generated a massive
stream of electrically charged particles and gas which rocketed
across space at two million miles per hour, with the ability to
cause unprecedented disruption to radio transmissions and navigation
systems on earth.
Until
now the size of the flare and the seismic waves which followed it
was unknown, but scientists have discovered it dwarfed the previous
biggest flare in August 1989, which plunged six million people in
Quebec into an electrical blackout.
A team
of scientists at New Zealand's University of Otago have said that
it almost wreaked unimaginable destruction.
Their
calculations showed the flare's X-ray radiation striking the atmosphere
was equivalent to that of 5,000 suns, although they said none of
it reached the earth's surface.
The
flare was not on a direct course and harmful radiation was absorbed
by the magnetosphere, a protective layer around the earth.
The
flare came during a spell of extraordinary solar activity, when
the sun produced a series of vast explosions.
As
gas from the core of the sun was heated to millions of degrees,
radiation and billions of tonn es of charged particles were pumped
into space.
An
accompanying aurora was seen over the skies of southern England.
At the time one scientist described the power of the flare as being
greater than "every nuclear warhead being detonated at once". |
| 19
March 2004 Astronomers can't yet make heads or tails out of all
the crazy things they've seen in close-up pictures of comet Wild-2.
Its
surface is littered with odd, well-like depressions, as well as
hills, cliffs and active vents that belch gas into space. Some surface
features are so large they take up half the size of the entire comet.
Comet's
Features Look a Lot Like Some on Earth "Other than the Sun,
this is the most active planetary surface in our solar system,"
said D onald Brownlee, principle investigator of the comet study.
[...] |
| What
happens should a larger asteroid come calling? |
| [...]
Keeping an eye out for potentially catastrophic ast eroids is money
well-spent. The question that must be answered is: "What happens
if they detect a really big asteroid coming straight at Earth?"
So far there is no answer. |
| Scientists have claimed that the
UK government is not serious in its study of potentially threatening
rocks from space. They accuse government officials of not implementing
necessary measures and instead using the subject as media opportunites.
Dr
Benny Peiser, of Liverpool John Moores University, accused ministers
of being "all spin and no delivery". He specifically criticized
the government of not implementing recommendations made by a task
force in 2000, which was set up explicitly to assess the risk posed
by Near Earth Objects (NEOs). [...] |
|
Ambulances
and RCMP cruisers were sent scrambling last night in search of a
ball of fire that fell from the sky east of Winnipeg. "We were
the first ones to see it, my partner and I," said Oakbank RCMP
Const. Patrick Therrien. "We were coming out of the detachment
area and we couldn't help but see it."
Therrien
said he and his partner, Cpl. Mark Bingham, saw a turquoise object
split into pieces and rocket toward Earth about 7:30 last night.
"It
was kind of scar
y, something that bright and that big coming down
with a trail like that," Therrien said.
METEORITE
OR SPACE JUNK?
They
watched it for about 10 seconds.
"It
was a brilliant colour, really beautiful."
Once
they lost sight of the object behind some trees, Bingham said they
called the Winnipeg airport to make sure they hadn't seen a plane
crashing.
"Then
we headed east to see if we could go find it," Bingham said
.
Calls
began pouring in to police from the southeastern part of the province.
After 30 minutes without finding anything, the hunt was called off.
Both
men said they think the object was a meteorite or space junk.
Researcher
Chris Rutkowski said it was likely a bolide, a scientific term for
fireball.
"Even
though it looks like a plane on fire crashing behind the next hill,
it's actually ... about 100 to 150 to 200 kilometres away."
|
|
ASHINGTON
(Reuters) - NASA's Mars rover Opportunity is parked by the shore
of what used to be a salty martian sea, scientists say.
"We
think Opportunit
y is now parked on what was once the shoreline of
a sal
ty sea on Mars," said Steve Squyres, principal investigator
for the science payload on Opportunity and its twin Mars exploration
Rover, Spirit.
Scientists
have long seen signs of liquid water on Mars, and the rovers' mission
was to investigate areas believed to have been covered with water
long ago. If there was water, theorists believe, there might have
been life on the Red Planet, Earth's next-door neighbour.
This
is the first time, though, that scientists have concrete evidence
-- new data from the rovers' analysis of the Mars rocks themselves
-- that water might have flowed on the martian surface.
"This
dramatic confirmation of standing water in Mars' history builds
on a progression of discoveries about that most Earthlike of alien
planets," said Ed Weiler, NASA associate administrator for
space science.
"This
result gives us impetus to expand our ambitious program of exploring
Mars to learn whether microbes have ever lived there and, ultimately,
whether we can," Weiler said in a statement. [...]
Opportunity
has been roving across the seemingly barren martian surface since
January and is now working with rocks that were once covered with
a rippling saltwater sea, the scientists said.
[...]
|
|
MEDFORD
— With conviction in his tone and a no-doubt-about-it confidence,
George Filer is adamant about his beliefs.
"Take
it to the bank," he says bluntly, "there is life on Mars."
A Medford
resident, Filer is a retired U.S. Air For
ce major who writes a weekly
intelligence report on UFOs called "Filer’s Files."
He has investigated UFO sightings for more than two decades.
"It
started when I was in the Air Force when London control asked us
to intercept a UFO," Filer said. "We had it on the radar,
and they were also tracking a UFO over the center of England.
"We
got it on radar … but when we got a couple miles out from
it, this object launched into space. We were doing more than 400
miles an hour and it took off more than 100 times faster. Having
seen this object, I was convinced there is something out there."
The
conviction, Filer said, was reinforced when he saw another UFO rising
from a lake near his home on Jackson Road in Medford.
"I
have seen UFOs," Filer said without a hint of doubt or sarcasm.
"I
saw one in Medford, and I have talked with dozens of people who
have seen UFOs in Medford. I talked to a police officer who saw
one over the Ford dealer (on Route 70)."
Filer
said he has the opportunity to discuss UFOs with astronauts, cosmonauts
and airline pilots.
"They
have seen them, but won’t say it publi
cly," Filer said.
"To put it bluntly, our (military) air cruisers see them now,
but they don’t talk about UFOs either. I’ve also had
airline pilots contact me, but they are not supposed to tell the
public they are seeing UFOs."
Filer
believes stereotypes, quick dismissals and the refusal to "step
out on a limb" are the reasons people don’t acknowledge
UFO sightings.
"Most
articles have an aren’t-you-crazy spin," he said. "I
don’t care if you disagree, but don’t dismiss it. There
is a large ridicule factor in regards to UFOs. I don’t know
if you’ll report the
story straight, but most of the time,
there are remarks about people who see UFOs being flakes.
[...]
Recently,
Filer has taken up the task of studying published photos from Mars.
"We
have been looking at the Rover film, and we encourage whoever reads
this article to look at the film and concentrate on the rocks,"
Filer said.
"There
are a million rocks, but the strange thing about the rocks is there’s
a lot of writing on them and it looks like English.
"The
logical thing is to th
ink that Martians don’t write in English,
but as we’re speaking, I’m looking at pictures from
Mars and an X and a P that have been written on rocks.
"I
believe what you see with your own eyes is more likely to be true,
and I’m looking at it," Filer said.
|
|
REGINA
- There were dozens of calls to police while people as
far apart as Eastend, Saskatchewan and Steinbach,
Manitoba saw a fireball streaking across the sky Sunday night.
The
president of the Royal Astronomical Society in Saskatoon, Richard
Huziak, said Monday morning that it was probably a meteor.
RCMP Corporal Brian Jones says about 24 people phoned in within
20 minutes of the event.
The fireball was aslo seen in Davidson,
Saskatchewan a
nd all the way to Hecla Island, Manitoba. Huziak says
that any sounds heard along with the p | |